Evolving post-World War II UK economic performance

Evolving post-World War II UK economic perfor ...
Luca Benati, Luca Benati
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Last edited by WorkBot
December 15, 2009 | History

Evolving post-World War II UK economic performance

"This paper uses tests for multiple structural breaks at unknown points in the sample period, and band-pass filtering techniques, to investigate changes in UK economic performance since the end of World War II. Empirical evidence suggests that the most recent decade, associated with the introduction of an inflation-targeting regime, has been significantly more stable than the previous post-WWII era. For real GDP growth, and for three measures of inflation, break dates are identified at around the time of the introduction of inflation-targeting, in October 1992. For all four series, the estimated innovation variance over the most recent subperiod has been the lowest of the post-WWII era. The volatility of the band-pass filtered macroeconomic indicators considered has been, after 1992, almost always lower than either during the Bretton Woods regime or the 1971-92 period; often, as in the cases of inflation and real GDP, markedly so. The Phillips correlation appears to have undergone significant changes over the past 50 years, from being unstable in the 1970s, to slowly stabilising from the beginning of the 1980s onwards. After 1992, the correlation has exhibited by far the greatest degree of stability during the post-WWII era"--Bank of England web site.

Publish Date
Publisher
Bank of England
Language
English
Pages
54

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Evolving post-World War II UK economic performance
Cover of: Evolving post-World war II UK economic performance
Evolving post-World war II UK economic performance
2004, Bank of England
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Published in
London
Series
Working paper -- no.232

The Physical Object

Pagination
54p.
Number of pages
54

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL16312463M

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December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
September 23, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from Talis record