On the properties of various estimators for fiscal reaction functions

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On the properties of various estimators for f ...
Oya Celasun
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Last edited by WorkBot
December 15, 2009 | History

On the properties of various estimators for fiscal reaction functions

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This paper evaluates the bias of the least-squares-with-dummy-variables (LSDV) method in fiscal reaction function estimations. A growing number of studies estimate fiscal policy reaction functions-that is, relationships between the primary fiscal balance and its determinants, including public debt and the output gap. A previously unexplored methodological issue in these estimations is that lagged debt is not a strictly exogenous variable, which biases the LSDV estimator in short panels. We derive the bias analytically to understand its determinants and run Monte Carlo simulations to assess its likely size in empirical work. We find the bias to be smaller than the bias of the LSDV estimator in a comparable autoregressive dynamic panel model and show the LSDV method to outperform a number of alternatives in estimating fiscal reaction functions.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
27

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Edition Availability
Cover of: On the properties of various estimators for fiscal reaction functions
On the properties of various estimators for fiscal reaction functions
2006, International Monetary Fund, Research Dept.
in English
Cover of: On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
2006, International Monetary Fund
in English
Cover of: On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
2006, International Monetary Fund
in English
Cover of: On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
2006, International Monetary Fund
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Caption title.

"July 2006."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 26-27).

Also available on the World Wide Web.

Published in
[Washington, D.C.]
Series
IMF working paper -- WP/06/182

The Physical Object

Pagination
27 p. ;
Number of pages
27

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL19374666M

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December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 21, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from University of Toronto MARC record