Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks

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Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of ...
Lutz Kilian
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Last edited by MARC Bot
October 29, 2020 | History

Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks

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"A common view in the literature is that the effect of energy price shocks on macroeconomic aggregates is asymmetric in energy price increases and decreases. We show that widely used asymmetric vector autoregressive models of the transmission of energy price shocks are misspecified, resulting in inconsistent parameter estimates, and that the implied impulse responses have been routinely computed incorrectly. As a result, the quantitative importance of unanticipated energy price increases for the U.S. economy has been exaggerated. In response to this problem, we develop alternative regression models and methods of computing responses to energy price shocks that yield consistent estimates regardless of the degree of asymmetry. We also introduce improved tests of the null hypothesis of symmetry in the responses to energy price increases and decreases. An empirical study reveals little evidence against the null hypothesis of symmetry in the responses to energy price shocks. Our analysis also has direct implications for the theoretical literature on the transmission of energy price shocks and for the debate about policy responses to energy price shocks"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks
Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks
2009, Federal Reserve Board
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 6/22/2009.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
International finance discussion papers -- no. 970, International finance discussion papers (Online) -- no. 970.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL23557785M
LCCN
2009656140

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Download catalog record: RDF / JSON / OPDS | Wikipedia citation
October 29, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
August 4, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
July 22, 2009 Created by ImportBot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record