Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies

Incomplete information and self-fulfilling pr ...
Pengfei Wang, Pengfei Wang
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 19, 2020 | History

Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies

"This paper shows that incomplete information can be a rich source of sunspots equilibria. This is demonstrated in a standard dynamic general equilibrium model of monopolistic competition à la Dixit-Stiglitz. In the absence of fundamental shocks, the model has a unique certainty (fundamental) equilibrium, but there are also multiple stochastic (sunspots) equilibria that are not mere randomizations over fundamental equilibria. In other words, sunspots can exist in infinite-horizon dynamic models with a unique saddle path steady state. In contrast to the recent sunspots literature (e.g., Benhabib and Farmer 1994), sunspots arising under incomplete information can be serially correlated and are robust to parameters associated with production technologies and preferences. Markup is always countercyclical in sunspots equilibria (which is consistent with empirical evidence) and fluctuations driven by sunspots look very similar to fluctuations driven by technology shocks"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies
Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies
2007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
electronic resource / in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 9/10/2007.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
St. Louis, Mo.]
Series
Working paper -- 2007-033A, Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis : Online) -- 2007-033A.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
[electronic resource] /

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL31800188M
LCCN
2007615332

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December 19, 2020 Created by MARC Bot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record