The delayed response to a technology shock

a flexible price explanation

The delayed response to a technology shock
Robert J. Vigfusson, Robert J. ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 11, 2020 | History

The delayed response to a technology shock

a flexible price explanation

"I present empirical evidence of how the U.S. economy, including per-capita hours worked, responds to a technology shock. In particular, I present results based on permanent changes to a constructed direct measure of technological change for U.S. manufacturing industries. Based on empirical evidence, some claim that hours worked declines and never recovers in response to a positive technology shock. This paper's empirical evidence suggests that emphasizing the drop in hours worked is misdirected. Because the sharp drop in hours is not present here, the emphasis rather should be on the small (perhaps negative) initial response followed by a subsequent large positive response. Investment, consumption, and output have similar dynamic responses. In response to a positive technology shock, a standard flexible price model would have an immediate increase in hours worked. Therefore, such a model is inconsistent with the empirical dynamic responses. I show, however, that a flexible price model with habit persistence in consumption and certain kinds of capital adjustment costs can better match the empirical responses. Some recent papers have critiqued the use of long run VARs to identify the dynamic responses to a technology shock. In particular they report that, when long run VARs are applied to data simulated from particular economic models, the point estimates of the impulse responses may be imprecisely estimated. However, based on additional simulation evidence, I find that, although the impact response may be imprecisely estimated, a finding of a delayed response is much more likely when the true model response also has a delayed response"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Availability
Cover of: The delayed response to a technology shock
The delayed response to a technology shock: a flexible price explanation
2004, Federal Reserve Board
Electronic resource in English

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Edition Notes

Also available in print.
Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 7/28/2004.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
International finance discussion papers ;, no. 810, International finance discussion papers (Online) ;, no. 810.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3389843M
LCCN
2004616533

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December 11, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 29, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] :' to 'Electronic resource'
December 12, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 31, 2008 Edited by ImportBot add URIs from original MARC record
April 1, 2008 Created by an anonymous user Imported from Scriblio MARC record