The impact of monetary policy on exchange rates during financial crises

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The impact of monetary policy on exchange rat ...
David Gould
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December 13, 2020 | History

The impact of monetary policy on exchange rates during financial crises

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"This paper addresses the impact of monetary policy on exchange rates during financial crises. Some observers have argued that a tightening of monetary policy is necessary to stabilize the exchange rate, restore confidence, and lay the groundwork for an eventual recovery of economic activity. Others have argued that by raising interest rates (which reduces the ability of borrowers to repay loans and thereby weakens the banking system), tightening may further reduce investor confidence and lead to further weakening--not strengthening--of domestic currencies. This debate, which became highly charged during the Asian financial crisis, remains unresolved. A key reason is that, because of the endogeneity of interest rates with respect to exchange rates and investor expectations, it is difficult to use statistical analysis to identify the impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate. In our research, we use measures of international credit spreads and of domestic stock prices as proxies for investor concerns about creditworthiness and country risk in order to better identify the impact of monetary policies on the exchange rate. Using weekly data from Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Mexico, we find that credit spreads and stock prices exert significant impacts on exchange rates during financial crises, but interest rates still are not estimated to have significant effects. We conclude that while monetary policy probably does exert an important influence over exchange rates, this most likely takes place slowly, as central banks attempt to establish credibility, and over longer periods of time than can be captured in our analysis"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: The impact of monetary policy on exchange rates during financial crises
The impact of monetary policy on exchange rates during financial crises
2000, Federal Reserve Board
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/21/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
International finance discussion papers ;, no. 669, International finance discussion papers (Online) ;, no. 669.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3476385M
LCCN
2005615869

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 29, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
December 12, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
April 24, 2009 Edited by ImportBot Found a matching Library of Congress MARC record
April 1, 2008 Created by an anonymous user Imported from Scriblio MARC record