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080 $a658.012.4
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100 1 $aClemen, Robert T.$q(Robert Taylor),$d1952-
245 10 $aMaking hard decisions with DecisionTools /$cRobert T. Clemen, Terence Reilly.
250 $a2nd rev. ed.
260 $aPacific Grove, CA :$bDuxbury/Thomson Learning,$c2001.
300 $axxv, 733 pages :$billustrations ;$c24 cm +$e1 computer optical disc (4 3/4 in.)
336 $atext$btxt$2rdacontent
337 $aunmediated$bn$2rdamedia
338 $avolume$bnc$2rdacarrier
500 $aEarlier edition published in 1996 under title: Making hard decisions.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references and indexes.
505 00 $tGypsy Moths and the Oda --$tWhy Are Decisions Hard? --$tWhy Study Decision Analysis? --$tSubjective Judgments and Decision Making --$tThe Decision-Analysis Process --$tRequisite Decision Models --$tWhere Is Decision Analysis Used? --$tWhere Does the Software Fit In? --$tModeling Decisions --$tElements of Decision Problems --$tValues and Objectives --$tMaking Money: A Special Objective --$tValues and the Current Decision Context --$tBoeing's Supercomputer --$tDecisions to Make --$tSequential Decisions --$tUncertain Events --$tConsequences --$tThe Time Value of Money: A Special Kind of Trade-Off --$tLarkin Oil --$tStructuring Decisions --$tStructuring Values --$tHiring a Summer Intern --$tFundamental and Means Objectives --$tGetting the Decision Context Right --$tStructuring Decisions: Influence Diagrams --$tInfluence Diagrams and the Fundamental-Objectives Hierarchy --$tUsing Arcs to Represent Relationships --$tSome Basic Influence Diagrams --$tThe Basic Risky Decision --$tImperfect Information --$tSequential Decisions --$tIntermediate Calculations --$tConstructing an Influence Diagram (Optional) --$tToxic Chemicals and the Epa --$tSome Common Mistakes --$tMultiple Representations and Requisite Models --$tStructuring Decisions: Decision Trees --$tDecision Trees and the Objectives Hierarchy --$tSome Basic Decision Trees --$tThe Basic Risky Decision --$tImperfect Information --$tSequential Decisions --$tDecision Trees and Influence Diagrams Compared --$tDecision Details: Defining Elements of the Decision --$tMore Decision Details: Cash Flows and Probabilities.
520 8 $aTeaching the fundamental ideas of decision analysis, this text avoids an overly technical explanation of the mathematics used in management science. This new version incorporates and implements the powerful Decision Tools Suite, a toolkit for risk and decision analysis.
650 0 $aDecision making.
650 0 $aDecision making$xComputer programs.
630 00 $aDecisionTools.
630 07 $aDecisionTools.$2fast$0(OCoLC)fst01393522
650 7 $aDecision making.$2fast$0(OCoLC)fst00889035
650 7 $aDecision making$xComputer programs.$2fast$0(OCoLC)fst00889038
650 17 $aBesliskunde.$2gtt
650 17 $aSimulatiemodellen.$2gtt
650 17 $aRisicoanalyse.$2gtt
650 17 $aSpreiding (statistiek)$2gtt
650 17 $aDecision support systems.$2gtt
650 17 $aMicrosoft Excel.$2gtt
700 1 $aReilly, Terence.
700 1 $aClemen, Robert T.$q(Robert Taylor),$d1952-$tMaking hard decisions.
776 08 $iOnline version:$aClemen, Robert T. (Robert Taylor), 1952-$tMaking hard decisions with DecisionTools.$b2nd rev. ed.$dPacific Grove, CA : Duxbury/Thomson Learning, 2001$w(OCoLC)604468683
776 08 $iOnline version:$aClemen, Robert T. (Robert Taylor), 1952-$tMaking hard decisions with DecisionTools.$b2nd rev. ed.$dPacific Grove, CA : Duxbury/Thomson Learning, 2001$w(OCoLC)605657127
856 41 $3Table of contents$uhttp://digitool.hbz-nrw.de:1801/webclient/DeliveryManager?pid=721419&custom_att_2=simple_viewer
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948 $hHELD BY P4A - 178 OTHER HOLDINGS