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LEADER: 05009cam 2200829 a 4500
001 ocm30737537
003 OCoLC
005 20211130205914.0
008 940527s1995 nyu b 001 0 eng
010 $a 94021635
040 $aDLC$beng$cDLC$dUKM$dEL$$dBAKER$dNLGGC$dBTCTA$dYDXCP$dLVB$dUBC$dDEBBG$dEXW$dWAU$dOCLCO$dOCLCF$dOCLCQ$dOCLCO$dOCL$dOCLCQ$dOCLCO$dDHA$dBUF$dOCLCQ$dCCH$dBRL$dCPO$dOCLCO$dOCLCQ$dBGU$dOCLCO$dXFF$dOCLCO$dOCLCQ$dOCLCO$dCNO$dOCLCO$dHUELT$dBDP$dOCLCQ$dOCLCO$dOCLCQ$dCES$dOCLCQ$dIL4J6$dOCLCO$dGRO$dOCLCO
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020 $a0195090748$q(cloth ;$qacid-free paper)
020 $a9780195090741$q(cloth ;$qacid-free paper)
020 $a019510286X$q(pbk.)
020 $a9780195102864$q(pbk.)
035 $a(OCoLC)30737537$z(OCoLC)33898521$z(OCoLC)828237280
050 00 $aCB158$b.H39 1995
055 3 $aCB158$bH44
060 4 $a303.49 H466v
080 $a008"313"
080 $a930.85(100)
080 $a130.2"19"
082 00 $a303.49/09/03$220
084 $a02.40$2bcl
084 $aCC 8300$2rvk
084 $a5,1$2ssgn
100 1 $aHeilbroner, Robert L.
245 10 $aVisions of the future :$bthe distant past, yesterday, today, tomorrow /$cRobert Heilbroner.
260 $aNew York :$bNew York Public Library :$bOxford University Press,$c1995.
300 $aix, 133 pages ;$c22 cm
336 $atext$btxt$2rdacontent
337 $aunmediated$bn$2rdamedia
338 $avolume$bnc$2rdacarrier
500 $aBased on a series of lectures.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 123-128) and index.
520 $aHeilbroner calls the first view that of the Distant Past - the immense span that begins with the Stone Age, moves through the great early civilizations of the Near East to the glory that was Greece and the grandeur that was Rome, and ends only with the advent of modern times in the eighteenth century. Heilbroner makes the bold assertion that through all this vast panorama a single phrase depicts humanity's expectations of life on earth: it will be like the past. As he asks, what reason was there for expecting anything else? Change comes with the second, much shorter period, from the 1700s to the mid 1950s. Heilbroner calls it Yesterday. Now three immense forces, unknown in the Distant Past, dominate the expectations of the West. One of these is science, with its promise of controlling nature. A second is the advent of a dynamic means of organizing production called capitalism. And a third is the appearance of the revolutionary idea that the people themselves were the master of their destinies. Together these three forces imbue Yesterday's view of the future with an idea utterly unknown in the Distant Past: the expectation that the future will be better than the present. The third view is that of Today. Heilbroner points out that our own view of the future is still linked to science, capitalism, and democracy. What is new is that these powerful forces no longer appear as unambiguous carriers of progress. We look to science with fears as well as hopes; capitalism on a global scale brings economic difficulties along with new horizons; the expression of mass political sentiments conjures up the nightmares of Yugoslavia and Africa as well as possibilities for a widening of democratic government.
505 00 $tThe Distant Past --$tYesterday --$tToday --$tTomorrow.
650 0 $aForecasting$xHistory.
650 0 $aCivilization, Modern$y20th century$xPhilosophy.
650 6 $aPrévision$xHistoire.
650 6 $aCivilisation$y20e siècle$xPhilosophie.
650 7 $aCivilization, Modern$xPhilosophy.$2fast$0(OCoLC)fst00863096
650 7 $aForecasting.$2fast$0(OCoLC)fst00931721
650 7 $aPrognose$2gnd
650 7 $aZukunft$2gnd
650 17 $aToekomstverwachtingen.$2gtt
650 17 $aTheorieën.$2gtt
650 7 $aForecasting.$2nli
650 7 $aForecasting$xHistory.$2nli
650 7 $aCivilization$xHistory.$2nli
650 7 $aCivilization, Modern$y20th century.$2nli
648 7 $a1900-1999$2fast
653 0 $aForecasting
655 7 $aHistory.$2fast$0(OCoLC)fst01411628
856 41 $3Table of contents$uhttp://catdir.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0640/94021635-t.html
856 42 $3Contributor biographical information$uhttp://catdir.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0726/94021635-b.html
856 42 $3Publisher description$uhttp://catdir.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0640/94021635-d.html
938 $aBaker & Taylor$bBKTY$c23.00$d23.00$i0195090748$n0002493215$sactive
938 $aBaker and Taylor$bBTCP$n94021635
938 $aYBP Library Services$bYANK$n104663
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029 1 $aDEBSZ$b048269115
029 1 $aHEBIS$b041144082
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029 1 $aUNITY$b01424506X
029 1 $aYDXCP$b104663
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994 $aZ0$bP4A
948 $hNO HOLDINGS IN P4A - 817 OTHER HOLDINGS