The "other" imbalance and the financial crisis

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Last edited by MARC Bot
August 12, 2020 | History

The "other" imbalance and the financial crisis

"One of the main economic villains before the crisis was the presence of large "global imbalances." The concern was that the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep recession. However, when the crisis finally did come, the mechanism did not at all resemble the feared sudden stop. Quite the opposite, during the crisis net capital inflows to the U.S. were a stabilizing rather than a destabilizing source. I argue instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments that put an enormous pressure on the U.S. financial system and its incentives (and this was facilitated by regulatory mistakes). The crisis itself was the result of the negative feedback loop between the initial tremors in the financial industry created to bridge the safe-assets gap and the panic associated with the chaotic unraveling of this complex industry. Essentially, the financial sector was able to create "safe" assets from the securitization of lower quality ones, but at the cost of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world explicitly absorb a larger share of the systemic risk. The options for doing this range from surplus countries rebalancing their portfolios toward riskier assets, to private-public solutions where asset-producer countries preserve the good parts of the securitization industry while removing the systemic risk from the banks' balance sheets. Such public-private solutions could be designed with fee structures that could incorporate all kind of too-big- or too-interconnected-to-fail considerations. Keywords: Global imbalances, financial crisis, safe assets shortage, securitization, systemic fragility, panic, complexity, Knightian uncertainty, contingent insurance, TIC, contingent CDS. JEL Classifications: E32, E44, E58, F30, G01, G20.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
42

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Edition Availability
Cover of: The "other" imbalance and the financial crisis
The "other" imbalance and the financial crisis
2009, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"December 29, 2009."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 38-42).

Abstract in HTML and working paper for download in PDF available via World Wide Web at the Social Science Research Network.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
Working paper series / Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics -- working paper 09-32, Working paper (Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Economics) -- no. 09-32.

The Physical Object

Pagination
42 p. :
Number of pages
42

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL24647196M
Internet Archive
otherimbalancefi00caba
OCLC/WorldCat
671767422

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL15732358W

Source records

Internet Archive item record

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History

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August 12, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot remove fake subjects
May 13, 2011 Created by ImportBot initial import