An edition of The Theory That Would Not Die (2011)

The Theory That Would Not Die

how Bayes' rule cracked the Enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy

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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 23, 2022 | History
An edition of The Theory That Would Not Die (2011)

The Theory That Would Not Die

how Bayes' rule cracked the Enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy

  • 3.2 (4 ratings) ·
  • 18 Want to read
  • 8 Have read

Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years -- at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security. Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time. - Publisher.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
320

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Previews available in: English

Book Details


Table of Contents

Part 1 : Enlightenment and the anti-Bayesian reaction.
Causes in the air
The man who did everything
Many doubts, few defenders
Part 2 : Second World War era.
Bayes goes to war
Dead and buried again
Part 3 : The glorious revival.
Arthur Bailey
From tool to theology
Jerome Cornfield, lung cancer, and heart attacks
There's always a first time
46,656 varieties
Part 4 : To prove its worth.
Business decisions
Who wrote The Federalist?
The cold warrior
Three Mile Island
The Navy searches
Part 5 : Victory.
Eureka!
Rosetta stones
Appendixes.
Dr. Fisher's casebook
Applying Baye's Rule to mammograms and breast cancer

Edition Notes

Published in
New Haven, CT

Classifications

Library of Congress
QA279.5.M415 2011, QA279.5 .M415 2011

The Physical Object

Format
Hardcover
Pagination
xiii, 320 p.
Number of pages
320
Dimensions
25 x x centimeters

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL24958495M
Internet Archive
theorythatwouldn0000mcgr
ISBN 10
0300169698
ISBN 13
9780300169690
LCCN
2010045037
OCLC/WorldCat
670481486

Links outside Open Library

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History

Download catalog record: RDF / JSON
December 23, 2022 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
August 6, 2021 Edited by New York Times Bestsellers Bot Add NYT review links
October 22, 2011 Edited by LC Bot import new book
August 11, 2011 Edited by 158.158.240.230 Edited without comment.
August 11, 2011 Created by 158.158.240.230 Added new book.