An edition of Optimal policy projections (2005)

Optimal policy projections

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Optimal policy projections
Lars E. O. Svensson
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 13, 2020 | History
An edition of Optimal policy projections (2005)

Optimal policy projections

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"We outline a method to provide advice on optimal monetary policy while taking policymakers' judgment into account. The method constructs Optimal Policy Projections (OPPs) by extracting the judgment terms that allow a model, such as the Federal Reserve Board's FRB/US model, to reproduce a forecast, such as the Greenbook forecast. Given an intertemporal loss function that represents monetary policy objectives, OPPs are the projections - of target variables, instruments, and other variables of interest -that minimize that loss function for given judgment terms. The method is illustrated by revisiting the Greenbook forecasts of February 1997 and November 1999, in each case using the vintage of the FRB/US model that was in place at that time. These two particular forecasts were chosen, in part, because they were at the beginning and the peak, respectively, of the late 1990s boom period. As such, they differ markedly in their implied judgments of the state of the world, and our OPPs illustrate this difference. For a conventional loss function, our OPPs provide significantly better performance than Taylor-rule simulations"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Optimal policy projections
Optimal policy projections
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 6/21/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 11392, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 11392.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3478244M
LCCN
2005618238

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
February 12, 2010 Edited by WorkBot add more information to works
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page