Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow

Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow
Martin D. D. Evans, Martin D. ...
Not in Library

My Reading Lists:

Create a new list

Check-In

×Close
Add an optional check-in date. Check-in dates are used to track yearly reading goals.
Today


Buy this book

Last edited by Open Library Bot
December 3, 2010 | History

Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow

We address whether transaction flows in foreign exchange markets convey fundamental information. Our GE model includes fundamental information that first manifests at the micro level and is not symmetrically observed by all agents. This produces foreign exchange transactions that play a central role in information aggregation, providing testable links between transaction flows, exchange rates, and future fundamentals. We test these links using data on all end-user currency trades received at Citibank over 6.5 years, a sample sufficiently long to analyze real-time forecasts at the quarterly horizon. The predictions are borne out in four empirical findings that define this paper's main contribution: (1) transaction flows forecast future macro variables such as output growth, money growth, and inflation, (2) transaction flows forecast these macro variables significantly better than the exchange rate does, (3) transaction flows (proprietary) forecast future exchange rates, and (4) the forecasted part of fundamentals is better at explaining exchange rates than standard measured fundamentals.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
47

Buy this book

Edition Availability
Cover of: Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow
Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow
2007, National Bureau of Economic Research
electronic resource / in English
Cover of: Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow
Exchange rate fundamentals and order flow
2007, National Bureau of Economic Research
in English

Add another edition?

Book Details


Edition Notes

"June 2007."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 46-47).

Also available in PDF from the NBER world wide web site (www.nber.org).

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. 13151., Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 13151.

The Physical Object

Pagination
47, A20 p. :
Number of pages
47

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL17634307M
OCLC/WorldCat
153258860

Source records

Oregon Libraries MARC record

Community Reviews (0)

Feedback?
No community reviews have been submitted for this work.

Lists

This work does not appear on any lists.

History

Download catalog record: RDF / JSON
December 3, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page