Are shocks to the terms of trade shocks to productivity?

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Are shocks to the terms of trade shocks to pr ...
Timothy Jerome Kehoe
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 19, 2020 | History

Are shocks to the terms of trade shocks to productivity?

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International trade is frequently thought of as a production technology in which the inputs are exports and the outputs are imports. Exports are transformed into imports at the rate of the price of exports relative to the price of imports: the reciprocal of the terms of trade. Cast this way, a change in the terms of trade acts as a productivity shock. Or does it? In this paper, we show that this line of reasoning cannot work in standard models. Starting with a simple model and then generalizing, we show that changes in the terms of trade have no first-order effect on productivity when output is measured as chain-weighted real gross domestic product. The terms of trade do affect real income and consumption in a country, and we show how measures of real income change with the terms of trade at business cycle frequencies and during financial crises.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
27

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Are shocks to the terms of trade shocks to productivity?
Are shocks to the terms of trade shocks to productivity?
2007, National Bureau of Economic Research
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"May 2007"

Includes bibliographical references (p. 21-22).

Also available in PDF from the NBER world wide web site (www.nber.org).

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. 13111., Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 13111.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Pagination
27 p. :
Number of pages
27

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL17634059M
LCCN
2007616266
OCLC/WorldCat
148083799

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December 19, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 3, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page