Prior elicitation in multiple change-point models

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Prior elicitation in multiple change-point mo ...
Gary Koop
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December 13, 2020 | History

Prior elicitation in multiple change-point models

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"This paper discusses Bayesian inference in change-point models. Current approaches place a possibly hierarchical prior over a known number of change points. We show how two popular priors have some potentially undesirable properties, such as allocating excessive prior weight to change points near the end of the sample. We discuss how these properties relate to imposing a fixed number of change points in the sample. In our study, we develop a hierarchical approach that allows some change points to occur out of the sample. We show that this prior has desirable properties and handles cases with unknown change points. Our hierarchical approach can be shown to nest a wide variety of change-point models, from time-varying parameter models to those with few or no breaks. Data-based learning about the parameter that controls this variety occurs because our prior is hierarchical"--Federal Reserve Bank of New York web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Prior elicitation in multiple change-point models
Prior elicitation in multiple change-point models
2004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from summary page as viewed on 1/10/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
[New York, N.Y.]
Series
Staff reports ;, no. 197, Staff reports (Federal Reserve Bank of New York : Online) ;, no. 197

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3475888M
LCCN
2005615320

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
April 17, 2010 Edited by WorkBot update details
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page