An edition of Defining price stability in Japan (2007)

Defining price stability in Japan

a view from America

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Defining price stability in Japan
Christian M. Broda
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 19, 2020 | History
An edition of Defining price stability in Japan (2007)

Defining price stability in Japan

a view from America

  • 0 Ratings
  • 0 Want to read
  • 0 Currently reading
  • 0 Have read

Japanese monetary and fiscal policy uses the consumer price index as a metric for price stability. Despite a major effort to improve the index, the Japanese methodology of calculating the CPI seems to have a large number of deficiencies. Little attention is paid in Japan to substitution biases and quality upgrading. This implies that important methodological differences have emerged between the U.S. and Japan since the U.S. started to correct for these biases in 1999. We estimate that using the new corrected U.S. methodology, Japan's deflation averaged 1.2 percent per year since 1999. This is more than twice the deflation suggested by Japanese national statistics. Ignoring these methodological differences misleading suggests that American real per capita consumption growth has been growing at a rate that is almost 2 percentage points higher than that of Japan between 1999 and 2006. When a common methodology is used Japan's growth has been much closer to that of the U.S. over this period. Moreover, we estimate that the bias of the Japanese CPI relative to a true cost-of-living index is around 2 percent per year. This overstatement in the Japanese CPI in combination with Japan's low inflation rate is likely to cost the government over 69 trillion yen -- or 14 percent of GDP -- over the next 10 years in increased social security expenses and debt service. For monetary policy, the overstatement of inflation suggests that if the BOJ adopts a formal inflation target without changing the current CPI methodology a lower band of less than 2 percent would not achieve its goal of price stability.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
35

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Defining price stability in Japan
Defining price stability in Japan: a view from America
2007, National Bureau of Economic Research
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"July 2007"

Includes bibliographical references (p. 34-35).

Also available in PDF from the NBER world wide web site (www.nber.org).

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. 13255., Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 13255.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Pagination
35 p. :
Number of pages
35

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL17634800M
LCCN
2007616397
OCLC/WorldCat
163599159

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December 19, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 3, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page