An edition of The wealth-consumption ratio (2008)

The wealth-consumption ratio

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The wealth-consumption ratio
Hanno Lustig
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 22, 2020 | History
An edition of The wealth-consumption ratio (2008)

The wealth-consumption ratio

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"To measure the wealth-consumption ratio, we estimate an exponentially affine model of the stochastic discount factor on bond yields and stock returns. We use that discount factor to compute the no-arbitrage price of a claim to aggregate US consumption. Our estimates indicate that total wealth is much safer than stock market wealth. The consumption risk premium is only 2.2 percent, substantially below the equity risk premium of 6.9 percent. As a result, our estimate of the wealth-consumption ratio is much higher than the price-dividend ratio on stocks throughout the post-war period. The high wealth-consumption ratio implies that the average US household has a lot of wealth, most of it human wealth. A variance decomposition of the wealth-consumption ratio shows less return predictability overall, but most of the return predictability is for future interest rates, not excess returns. We conclude that the properties of the total wealth portfolio are more similar to those of a long-maturity bond portfolio than those of a stock portfolio. The differences that we find between the risk-return characteristics of equity and total wealth suggest that equity is a special asset class"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Availability
Cover of: The wealth-consumption ratio
The wealth-consumption ratio
2008, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 6/25/2008.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 13896, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 13896.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL17087528M
LCCN
2008610754

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December 22, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page