An edition of Roughing it up (2005)

Roughing it up

including jump components in the measurement, modeling, and forecasting of return volatility

Roughing it up
Torben G. Andersen, Torben G. ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 13, 2020 | History
An edition of Roughing it up (2005)

Roughing it up

including jump components in the measurement, modeling, and forecasting of return volatility

"A rapidly growing literature has documented important improvements in financial return volatility measurement and forecasting via use of realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns coupled with simple modeling procedures. Building on recent theoretical results in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2004a, 2005) for related bi-power variation measures, the present paper provides a practical and robust framework for non-parametrically measuring the jump component in asset return volatility. In an application to the DM/$ exchange rate, the S&P500 market index, and the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield, we find that jumps are both highly prevalent and distinctly less persistent than the continuous sample path variation process. Moreover, many jumps appear directly associated with specific macroeconomic news announcements. Separating jump from non-jump movements in a simple but sophisticated volatility forecasting model, we find that almost all of the predictability in daily, weekly, and monthly return volatilities comes from the non-jump component. Our results thus set the stage for a number of interesting future econometric developments and important financial applications by separately modeling, forecasting, and pricing the continuous and jump components of the total return variation process"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 12/5/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 11775, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 11775.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3479306M
LCCN
2005620564

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History

Download catalog record: RDF / JSON
December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 5, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page