Sovereign CDs and bond pricing dynamics in emerging markets

does the cheapest-to-deliver option matter?

Sovereign CDs and bond pricing dynamics in em ...
John Ammer, John Ammer
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 19, 2020 | History

Sovereign CDs and bond pricing dynamics in emerging markets

does the cheapest-to-deliver option matter?

"We examine the relationships between credit default swap (CDS) premiums and bond yield spreads for nine emerging market sovereign borrowers. We find that these two measures of credit risk deviate considerably in the short run, due to factors such as liquidity and contract specifications, but we estimate a stable long-term equilibrium relationship for most countries. In particular, CDS premiums tend to move more than one-for-one with yield spreads, which we show is broadly consistent with the presence of a significant "cheapest-to-deliver" (CTD) option. In addition, we find a variety of cross-sectional evidence of a CTD option being incorporated into CDS premiums. In our analysis of the short-term dynamics, we find that CDS premiums often move ahead of the bond market. However, we also find that bond spreads lead CDS premiums for emerging market sovereigns more often than has been found for investment-grade corporate credits, consistent with the CTD option impeding CDS liquidity for our riskier set of borrowers. Furthermore, the CDS market is less likely to lead for sovereigns that have issued more bonds, suggesting that the relative liquidity of the two markets is a key determinant of where price discovery occurs"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

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Language
English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/3/2008.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
International finance discussion papers -- no. 912, International finance discussion papers (Online) -- no. 912.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL16390118M
LCCN
2007615342

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL4054071W

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Download catalog record: RDF / JSON / OPDS | Wikipedia citation
December 19, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 29, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] :' to 'Electronic resource'
December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 28, 2008 Edited by ImportBot Found a matching Library of Congress MARC record
September 23, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record