Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings

Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings
Francesco Giavazzi, Francesco ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 22, 2020 | History

Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings

In 1997 Chancellor Kohl proposed a major pension reform: he pushed the law through Parliament explaining that the German PAYG system had become unsustainable. One limitation of the new law - one that is crucial for our identification strategy - is that it left the generous pension entitlements of civil servants intact. The year after, in 1998, Kohl lost the elections and was replaced by Gerhard Shroeder. One of the first decisions of the new Chancellor was to revoke of the 1997 pension reform. We use the quasi-experiment of the adoption and subsequent revocation of the pension reform to study how households reacted to the increase in uncertainty about the future path of income that such an event produced. Our estimates are obtained from a diff-in-diff estimator: this helps us overcome the identification problem that often affects measures of precautionary saving. Departing from the majority of studies on precautionary saving we also analyze households' response in terms of labor market choices: we find evidence of a labor supply response by those workers who can use the margin offered by part-time employment.

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings
Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings
2008, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English
Cover of: Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings
Policy uncertainty and precautionary savings
2008, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file (viewed on Oct. 10, 2008).

"April 2008."

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
London
Series
CEP discussion paper -- no. 863

Classifications

Library of Congress
HC10

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL22649229M
LCCN
2008613826

Work Description

"In 1997 Chancellor Kohl proposed a major pension reform and pushed the law through Parliament explaining that the German PAYG system had become unsustainable. One limitation of the new law -- one that is crucial for our identification strategy -- is that it left the generous pension entitlements of civil servants intact. The year after, in 1998, Kohl lost the elections and was replaced by Gerhard Shroeder. One of the first decisions of the new Chancellor was to revoke the 1997 pension reform. We use the quasi-experiment of the adoption and subsequent revocation of the pension reform to study how households reacted to the increase in uncertainty about the future path of income that such an event produced. Our estimates are obtained from a diff-in-diff estimator: this helps us overcome the identification problem that often affects measures of precautionary saving. Departing from the majority of studies on precautionary saving we also analyze households' response in terms of labor market choices: we find evidence of a labor supply response by those workers who can use the margin offered by part-time employment"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

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Download catalog record: RDF / JSON / OPDS | Wikipedia citation
December 22, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 29, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
December 4, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record