Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices

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Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation ...
Mendoza, Enrique G.
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December 13, 2020 | History

Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices

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"This paper shows that the quantitative predictions of an equilibrium asset pricing model with financial frictions are consistent with the large consumption and current-account reversals and asset-price collapses observed in the "Sudden Stops" of emerging markets crises. Margin requirements set a collateral constraint on foreign borrowing by domestic agents. Foreign traders incur costs in trading assets with domestic agents. Margin constraints bind occasionally depending on equilibrium portfolios and asset prices. When the constraints do not bind, productivity shocks cause standard real-business-cycle effects. When the constraints bind, shocks of the same magnitude cause strikingly different effects that vary with the leverage ratio and the liquidity of asset markets. With high leverage and liquid markets, the shocks trigger margin calls forcing "fire sales" of assets. Fisher's debt-deflation mechanism causes subsequent rounds of margin calls, a fall in asset prices and large consumption and current account reversals. The size of the price decline depends on trading costs parameters because these parameters determine the price elasticity of the foreign traders' asset demand function. Price declines of the magnitude observed in the data require a less-than-unitary price elasticity. Precautionary saving makes Sudden Stops infrequent in the long run so that the model can explain both regular business cycles and the unusually large reversals of consumption and current accounts associated with Sudden Stops"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

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Language
English

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Cover of: Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices
Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices
2004, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English
Cover of: Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices

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Edition Notes

Also available in print.
Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/12/2005.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 10940, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 10940.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3476162M
LCCN
2005615620

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 31, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
December 12, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 31, 2008 Edited by ImportBot add URIs from original MARC record
April 1, 2008 Created by an anonymous user Imported from Scriblio MARC record