Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices

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Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation ...
Mendoza, Enrique G.
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December 15, 2009 | History

Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices

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"This paper shows that the quantitative predictions of an equilibrium asset pricing model with financial frictions are consistent with the large consumption and current-account reversals and asset-price collapses observed in the "Sudden Stops" of emerging markets crises. Margin requirements set a collateral constraint on foreign borrowing by domestic agents. Foreign traders incur costs in trading assets with domestic agents. Margin constraints bind occasionally depending on equilibrium portfolios and asset prices. When the constraints do not bind, productivity shocks cause standard real-business-cycle effects. When the constraints bind, shocks of the same magnitude cause strikingly different effects that vary with the leverage ratio and the liquidity of asset markets. With high leverage and liquid markets, the shocks trigger margin calls forcing "fire sales" of assets. Fisher's debt-deflation mechanism causes subsequent rounds of margin calls, a fall in asset prices and large consumption and current account reversals. The size of the price decline depends on trading costs parameters because these parameters determine the price elasticity of the foreign traders' asset demand function. Price declines of the magnitude observed in the data require a less-than-unitary price elasticity. Precautionary saving makes Sudden Stops infrequent in the long run so that the model can explain both regular business cycles and the unusually large reversals of consumption and current accounts associated with Sudden Stops"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
34

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Cover of: Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices
Cover of: Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices
Quantitative implication of a debt-deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices
2004, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"December 2004."

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in PDF from the NBER world wide web site (www.nber.org).

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. 10940., Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 10940.

The Physical Object

Pagination
34, [12] p. :
Number of pages
34

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL17625273M
OCLC/WorldCat
57349630

Source records

Oregon Libraries MARC record

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Download catalog record: RDF / JSON / OPDS | Wikipedia citation
December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
April 25, 2009 Edited by ImportBot add OCLC number
September 29, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from Oregon Libraries MARC record