Sovereign CDs and bond pricing dynamics in emerging markets

does the cheapest-to-deliver option matter?

Sovereign CDs and bond pricing dynamics in em ...
John Ammer, John Ammer
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 19, 2020 | History

Sovereign CDs and bond pricing dynamics in emerging markets

does the cheapest-to-deliver option matter?

"We examine the relationships between credit default swap (CDS) premiums and bond yield spreads for nine emerging market sovereign borrowers. We find that these two measures of credit risk deviate considerably in the short run, due to factors such as liquidity and contract specifications, but we estimate a stable long-term equilibrium relationship for most countries. In particular, CDS premiums tend to move more than one-for-one with yield spreads, which we show is broadly consistent with the presence of a significant "cheapest-to-deliver" (CTD) option. In addition, we find a variety of cross-sectional evidence of a CTD option being incorporated into CDS premiums. In our analysis of the short-term dynamics, we find that CDS premiums often move ahead of the bond market. However, we also find that bond spreads lead CDS premiums for emerging market sovereigns more often than has been found for investment-grade corporate credits, consistent with the CTD option impeding CDS liquidity for our riskier set of borrowers. Furthermore, the CDS market is less likely to lead for sovereigns that have issued more bonds, suggesting that the relative liquidity of the two markets is a key determinant of where price discovery occurs"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/3/2008.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
International finance discussion papers -- no. 912, International finance discussion papers (Online) -- no. 912.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL16390118M
LCCN
2007615342

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December 19, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page