The predictive content of energy futures
an update on petroleum, natural gas, heating oil, and gasoline
by Menzie David Chinn
"This paper examines the relationship between spot and futures prices for energy commodities (crude oil, gasoline, heating oil markets and natural gas). In particular, we examine whether futures prices are (1) an unbiased and/or (2) accurate predictor of subsequent spot prices. We find that while futures prices are unbiased predictors of future spot prices, with the exception those in the natural gas markets at the 3-month horizon. Futures do not appear to well predict subsequent movements in energy commodity prices, although they slightly outperform time series models"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
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The predictive content of energy futures: an update on petroleum, natural gas, heating oil and gasoline
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
in English
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The predictive content of energy futures: an update on petroleum, natural gas, heating oil, and gasoline
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource
in English
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Book Details
Edition Notes
Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/18/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.
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- Created April 1, 2008
- 5 revisions
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| December 13, 2020 | Edited by MARC Bot | import existing book |
| July 31, 2012 | Edited by VacuumBot | Updated format '[electronic resource] :' to 'Electronic resource' |
| December 12, 2009 | Edited by WorkBot | link works |
| October 31, 2008 | Edited by ImportBot | add URIs from original MARC record |
| April 1, 2008 | Created by an anonymous user | Imported from Scriblio MARC record |